Severe Weather Update
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All day we have been tracking storms in the Central Plains as they quickly moved toward Wisconsin. The latest trend is for these storms to slowly weaken as they continue to move towards Milwaukee. Timing for the storms is still on track with the bulk of rain activity arriving after 10 PM and lasting through the early morning hours.
Even though storms are expected to weaken, this very large area of low pressure is so strong that even weak impulses could create strong or even severe storms. As of 8 PM Sunday the Storm Prediction Center continues to keep the best chance for severe weather south and west of our area. If south eastern Wisconsin were to see strong storms the storms would likely be elevated, meaning higher above the surface than typical thunderstorms. The reason for this is all of the dreary weather we've experienced today limiting our sunshine, warmth and therefore instability which strong thunderstorms need to form. In elevated storms the greatest threats are typically hail and brief downpours which is what the Milwaukee area could see if strong storms develop.
Although severe weather is by no means likely in our area there is still a low chance for stronger storms to reach the Milwaukee area. Remember that the risk does not just include tonight but also with storms through Monday afternoon.
The First Alert Weather Team will be tracking these storms all night.