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Marquette poll shows tightening Presidential race in Wisconsin
MILWAUKEE- Marquette Law School released its latest poll Wednesday.
It showed a slight lead for President Obama over Mitt Romney by a three percent margin. (49-46)
That's a two percent change from the last poll which had Obama over Romney 50 - 45.
This most recent poll is the first since Romney announced Paul Ryan as his VP.
“The two-point shift in Romney's direction is within the margin of error for the poll but suggests Ryan's addition to the ticket may have slightly increased Romney's chances in Wisconsin,” said Professor Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School Poll.
The poll was conducted August 16-19 and is a sample of 576 likely voters.
There is a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points.
The poll explained Ryan's impact further:
- When asked how they would rate Romney’s selection of Ryan, 31 percent said “excellent,” 27 percent “pretty good,” 16 percent “only fair,” and 19 percent said “poor.”
- When asked if the selection of Ryan made them more likely to vote for Romney, 29 percent said more likely while 16 percent said less likely and 53 percent said it would not have much effect. Fifty-seven percent of Republicans said Ryan's selection made them more likely to vote for Romney while only 2 percent of Democrats said so. Among independents who said they don't lean towards either party 23 percent said they were more likely now to support Romney while 17 percent said less likely and 54 percent said it made no difference.
Ryan’s selection as vice-presidential candidate has raised public awareness of him. In the July 5-8 Marquette Law Poll, Ryan was rated favorably by 36 percent, unfavorably by 29 percent, and 35 percent were unable to rate him. Since his selection, both his favorable and unfavorable ratings have increased by five percentage points, to 41 percent favorable and 34 percent unfavorable, with 24 percent unable to rate him.
Fifty-eight percent said Romney’s choice of Ryan reflects favorably on his ability to make important presidential decisions, while 31 percent said it reflected unfavorably.
Ryan is seen as qualified to serve as president, if that should become necessary, by 55 percent, and as not qualified by 37 percent.